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Review Article
163 (
3
); 355-370
doi:
10.25259/IJMR_1935_2025

Prevalence of chronic pain in the general population: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Department of Anaesthesiology and Critical Care, University College of Medical Sciences and Guru Teg Bahadur Hospital, Delhi, India
Department of Biostatistics, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Delhi, India

For correspondence: Prof Geetanjali T Chilkoti, Department of Anaesthesia, University College of Medical Sciences, New Delhi 110 062, India e-mail: geetanjalidr@yahoo.co.in

Licence
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-Share Alike 4.0 License, which allows others to remix, transform, and build upon the work non-commercially, as long as the author is credited and the new creations are licensed under the identical terms.

How to cite this article: Saxena AK, Singh N, Chilkoti GT, Gulabani M, Malhotra RK. Prevalence of chronic pain in the general population: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Indian J Med Res. 2026;163:355-70. doi: 10.25259/IJMR_1935_2025.

Abstract

Background and objectives

Chronic pain represents a significant health concern affecting a large segment of society. To date, no systematic review and meta-analysis has evaluated the prevalence of chronic pain in the general population aged 18 to 95 years. The present study aimed to assess prevalence of chronic pain in this age group and examine its variation across age, sex, geographical regions, and psychosocial factors.

Methods

Cochrane Library, PubMed, and MEDLINE, were searched by combining combination of two categories of keywords (prevalence, chronic pain, epidemiology, population-based study, meta-analysis) in the general population till May 2024.

Results

A total of 52 studies with 2,89,490 participants were included to ascertain the global prevalence of six types of chronic pain: non-specific chronic pain, fibromyalgia, chronic lower back pain, chronic back pain, chronic widespread pain, and chronic musculoskeletal pain. The overall pooled random-effect prevalence percentage of chronic pain was 26.99%. The chronic pain prevalence percentage was significantly higher in those above 45 yr of age (46.7%), compared to 24.2% in those between 18-45 yr (P<0.001). The prevalence of chronic pain was higher in women as compared to men (31.42% vs. 21.63%) (P=0.07).

Interpretation and conclusions

The present global meta-analysis of chronic pain across the age group of 18–95 yr, observed a higher prevalence in women and in those alone 45 years of age. There was no geographical difference.

Keywords

Chronic pain
Fibromyalgia
Meta-analysis
Migraine
Prevalence
Systematic review

Chronic pain is a significant healthcare problem with ramifications impacting the social, economic, and health ecosystem worldwide. The International Association for the Study of Pain (IASP) defines chronic pain as pain that lacks an apparent biological purpose and persists beyond the normal period of tissue healing, typically exceeding three months.1 It may be considered a disease as described by the European Federation of IASP chapter on declaration of pain.2 The reported prevalence of chronic pain worldwide ranges from 30% to 40% as cited in various studies.3,4 Chronic pain can be of different types e.g., lower back pain, cervical spine pain, anterior chest pain, chronic widespread pain, fibromyalgia syndrome, migraine, neck pain, and neuropathic pain.5-7

The literature is replete with studies reporting the incidence of chronic pain in Western countries. The chronic pain prevalence was 26.8% in a study on the German population8 and 3.6% in the United States of America.9 Bannwarth et al10 and Branco et al11 conducted studies in the European population and reported a prevalence of 10%, 10%, 11%, 13%, and 23% in France, Italy, Germany, Portugal, and Spain, respectively.

In the Indian subcontinent, Dureja et al12 described the overall chronic pain prevalence as 13%. Various meta-analysis available in the literature, among different age groups across the globe, highlight chronic pain as a significant health concern.13-15 Chronic pain is especially prevalent (upto 66%) in populations, on palliative care treatment.16

Efficacious pain relief is therefore a cornerstone of palliative care, aiming to alleviate agony and enhance the quality of life for patients with life-limiting illnesses. Chronic pain not only physically and mentally drains affected persons, but also negatively impacts the economy and productivity of the nation at large. In a recent Norwegian study, it was found that chronic pain imposes a significant financial burden, to the extent of 4% of gross domestic product, emphasising the importance of patient education and improved rehabilitation of those suffering.17

Accordingly, the present study aimed to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of the available literature to estimate the prevalence of chronic pain and to examine its variation across age, gender, geographical regions, and psychosocial factors among different age groups, with the ultimate goal of informing health policy planning and implementation.

Methods

The study was carried out in compliance with the PRISMA 2020 (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines.18 Subsequently, it was registered in the PROSPERO registry with no. CRD 42023439427.

Search strategy

The literature search was conducted till May 2024 which included searches on online databases such as PubMed, MEDLINE, Cochrane Library, Google Scholar, Science Direct, Embase, ProQuest, Scopus, CINAHL, and AMED. The details of search strategy are presented in Supplementary Table I.

Supplementary Table I

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

All population-based studies involving adults (cross-sectional studies, cohort studies, and national reports) published up to May 2024 and reporting on the prevalence of chronic pain in the general population aged 18–95 years were included. All eligible criteria were selected for further review and synthesis. Studies published in only English language were included. Narrative and systematic reviews, case reports, qualitative studies, editorials, conference proceedings, opinion papers, and letters) were excluded.

Screening and Selection of relevant studies

Screening was performed in two stages: an initial review of titles and abstracts, followed by full-text retrieval and assessment based on predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria. Two pairs of reviewers (NS, GTC) separately screened each record’s titles and abstracts. The studies that were unclear or controversial were advanced to full-text screening. Any disagreements arising during full-text screening were resolved through consensus in consultation with the lead researcher (AKS).

Data extraction and management

The extracted data included final full-text manuscripts, which were collected in a format containing research information, characteristics of the participants included in the study, and outcome measures.

Outcome measures

The primary outcome was to estimate the prevalence of chronic pain in the general population based on the pooled findings of the included studies. The secondary outcomes were to find the differences in the prevalence of chronic pain based on age, sex, race/ethnicity, geographic location, socioeconomic status, and other demographic or clinical factors.

Quality assessment

To assess the potential risk of bias, we applied the risk of bias tool developed by Hoy et al.19 To evaluate the risk of bias, two reviewers assessed and rated each of the 10 items mentioned into two dichotomous ratings: low or high risk. ‘Low risk’ indicated that further research was very unlikely to change the confidence of the estimates, whereas ‘high risk’ indicated that further research was very likely to change the estimate. Cohen Kappa was used to assess the strength of agreement between the two independent assessors.

Qualitative assessment

The reporting quality of the included articles was evaluated in accordance with the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) statement.20 The methodological quality related to chronic pain assessment was evaluated across five domains: characteristics of the study population, adequacy of sample size, participation rate, outcome measurement, and analytical approach. Each domain was scored from 0 to 2, and the sum of these scores reflected the overall study quality. The modules having ‘low risk’ assigned were 2, ‘moderate risk’ 1, and ‘high risk’ 0. The maximum score of the assessment was 10. The study was considered ‘low risk’ when the total score was greater than 8, moderate if it was 7 or 8, and high-risk when it was less than or equal to 6.

Statistical analysis

A meta-analysis of proportions was performed using R software (version 4.1.0; R Foundation for Statistical Computing). Statistical significance was set at an α level of 0.05. Given the expected substantial heterogeneity, pooled prevalence estimates were calculated using the meta::metaprop function, applying a random-effects model with restricted maximum-likelihood estimation. Proportions were defined as the number of individuals with chronic pain relative to the total sample size. To stabilise variance, individual study proportions were transformed using the Freeman–Tukey double arcsine method. Clopper–Pearson 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were derived for individual studies, while Wald 95% CIs were used for the pooled estimates. Forest plots corresponding to each primary outcome were generated using the meta::forest function.

Between-study heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistic. Threshold values of 30%, 50%, and 75% were used to indicate moderate, substantial, and considerable heterogeneity, respectively, in line with recommendations from the GRADE framework (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations) and guidance provided in the Cochrane Handbook for the interpretation of heterogeneity.21,22

The tests of heterogeneity was performed to determine the extent of variation between the selected studies. The Q-statistic was employed to test the null hypothesis that all studies share a common effect size. The Egger regression intercept test and the Begg and Mazumdar rank correlation test, as well as visual inspection of funnel plots for asymmetry, were used to assess bias in publication via the meta::metabias and meta::funnel functions, respectively.

Results

Literature search

This PRISMA flow diagram is shown in Figure 1. The summary of the studies included is shown in Table I.1,6,12,23-71

PRISMA flow diagram. PRISMA, preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analysis.
Fig. 1.
PRISMA flow diagram. PRISMA, preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analysis.
Table I. Summary of the studies included in this current Systematic review and meta-analysis
S. No. Study Sample size (N)
Age group Population type Sampling year and survey method

Pain

type

Geographical

region

Sampling area Definition of chronic pain Prevalence (%)
95% CI (%)
T F M T F M
1

Saxena et al1, 2018

4326 2345 1981 18-80 General 2006Q Nonspecific chronic pain India N IASP definition of CP (pain lasting >=3 months) 19.3 25.2 12.3 18.13-20.50

2

Bouhassira et al6, 2008

23712 12330 11382 >=18 General 2004Q

Nonspecific

chronic

pain

France N Daily pain lasting >=3 months; score of >=3 on DN4 interview questionnaire to identify neuropathic pain characteristics 31.7 35 28.2 31.11-32.30

3

Dureja et al12, 2013 5004 48% 52% >=30 General 2001AND2011I Nonspecific chronic pain India N Persistent continuously or intermittently pain for 3months or more in past 6months 13 NR NR 12.10-13.98

4

Kossi et al23, 2022 4320 1756 2563 >= 18 General 2021I CLBP Benin (Western Africa) R/L Pain between the 12th riband the gluteal cleft, with or without radiation to the legs, lasting at least 12weeks without a specific underlying pathology or occurring episodically within 6 months 35.5 34.7 36 34.08-36.96

5

Ai et al24, 2023 15423 7917 7506 >=45 General 2018I Nonspecific chronic pain China N Pain lasting for more than 3 months 60.02 58.3 41.7 59.24-60.80
6 Li et al25, 2021 1381 764 617 >=60 General 2018-2019 I Nonspecific chronic pain China N Pain lasting >=3 months was defined as a chronic pain following the IASP classification 57.3 57.1 42.9 54.62-59.91
7 Gaya et al26, 2020 4916 NR NR >=20 General 2016I FM Spain N Diffuse chronic pain more than 3months (ACR criteria for the classification of FM was published in 2010) 2.45 4.49 0.29 2.04-2.92
8 Wong et al27, 2011 5001 NR NR >=18 General 2007I Nonspecific chronic pain Hong King N Pain persisting for at least 3 months 34.9 40 29 33.57-36.23
9

Liberman et al28, 2018

419 NR NR >=65 General NRI Nonspecific chronic pain Israel R/L Pain persisting for at least 3 months 55.2 NR NR 50.23-59.94
10 Sharon et al29, 2022 1647 914 733 >=18 General 2017Q Nonspecific chronic pain Israel N Any kind of chronic pain that is constant or recurrent, for 3 months or longer 31.3 33.6 28.2 29.10-33.64
11

Torrence et al30, 2006

3002 1669 1333 >=18 General NRQ Nonspecific chronic pain UK N

Pain lasting for more than

3 months

48 NR NR 46.20-49.81
12 Dablhamer et al31, 2018 33028 NR NR >=18 General 2016Q Nonspecific chronic pain US N Pain on most of days or every day in the past 6months 20.4 22.1 18.6 19.94-20.82
13

Giorno et al32, 2017

1293 739 544 >=18 General 2014Q Nonspecific chronic pain Narni, Umbria (Italy) R/L Pain lasting for at least 3 months 28.4 34.1 21 25.93-30.92
14

Stompore et al33, 2019

145 110 35 >=60 General NRQ Nonspecific chronic pain Poland N Presence and location of chronic pain (lasting longer than 3 months) 78 NR NR 70.14-84.20
15 Iizuka et al34, 2017 213 138 75 >=50 General 2013Q CLBP Japan N Pain continuing for >=3 months 15.4 16.6 13.3 11.09-21.20
16 Ge et al35, 2022 1941 1082 859 21-97 General 2015-2017I CLBP Singapore N Pain lasting for more than 3 months 8.1 10.25 8 6.89-9.37
17

Antunes et al362021

8445 NR NR >=18 General 2017-2018I Nonspecific chronic pain Portugal N Individuals who (1) had pain for more than 3 months, (2) had pain for less than 3 months, but the pain persisted after the cause was healed, or (3) had a previous diagnosis of CP but were asymptomatic due to suitable treatment 33.6 NR NR 32.59-34.62
18

Neville et al37, 2008

3738 1995 1743 >=25 General NRQ Nonspecific chronic pain Israel R/L Any pain or discomfort that persists continuously or intermittently for longer than 3 months, in the last 6 months 46 52.2 38.9 44.41-47.63
19 Duenas et al38, 2025 4690 2138 2552 18-85 General 2022I Nonspecific chronic pain Spain N Pain persisting for at least 3 months 25 58.7 41.3 23.76-26.26
20

Inoue et al39, 2016

5437 2992 2445 >= 20 General 2013Q Nonspecific chronic pain Japan N 1) Pain lasting >= 6 months (excluding toothache, migraine, and menstrual pain); (2) Pain experienced over the past month and at least twice over the past week and (3) pain intensity >= 5 on a 10-point NRS during the most recent episode of pain 16.6 17.9 15.09 15.61-17.61
21

Santose et al40, 2015

1656 1058 598 >= 60 General 2009-2010I Nonspecific chronic pain Santa catorina(SouthAmerica) R/L Pain lasted for 6 months or more as established by IASP 29.3 37 17.7 27.11-31.55
22

Husky et al41, 2018

17249 NR NR 18-98 General 2005 I CBP France N Pain persisting for more than 3 months 38.3 41.3 34.3 37.57-39.02
23

Yamada et al42, 2022

12883 6196 6687 >= 65 General 2019Q ChronicMusculo-skeletal Japan N Pain in designated musculoskeletal sites (neck, shoulder, elbow, wrist, finger, back, hip, knee, ankle and toe)lasting >= 3 months 39 41.8 36.3 38.15-39.84
24

Metwally et al43, 2019

1031 644 387 >= 18 General 2016Q Nonspecific chronic pain Arabia R/L Any self-reported pain lasting for 3 months or more 19 18.3 20.6 16.67-21.55
25 Toth et al44, 2009 1207 NR NR >= 18 General NRI Nonspecific chronic pain Alberta (Canada) R/L Pain duration >= 3 months 35 NR NR 32.24-37.71
26

Aili et al45, 2021

1858 1027 831 20-74 General 1995-2016Q Chronic musculoskeletal pain Scandinavia(Sweden) R/L Persistent or recurrent pain lasting > 3 months present on both sides of the body, below and above the waist, and in the axial skeleton using pain mannequin 6.4 8.5 3.7 5.33-7.61
27 Azevedo et al46, 2012 5094 3304 1790 >= 18 General 2007-2008 I Non-specific chronic pain Portugal R/L Pain lasting >= 3 months 36.7 45.7 27 35.36-38.03
28

Jakobsson et al47, 2010

826 485 341 18-102 General 2005Q Nonspecific chronic pain Scandinavia(Sweden) R/L Pain of at least 3 months duration 46 NR NR 42.57-49.47
29

Vieira et al48, 2012

1597 1060 537 >= 18 General 2009-2010I Nonspecific chronic pain South America R/L Persistent pain for more than 6 months 42 49.4 28.4 39.59-44.48
30

Shmegal et al49, 2016

5103 2592 2511 22-69 General 2009-2010I CLBP USA N Lower back pain almost every day lasting >= 3months 13.1 55.8 NR 12.15-14.02
31

Johannes et al50, 2010

27035 16678 10357 >= 18 General 2008-2009Q Nonspecific chronic pain USA N "Chronic and long-lasting recurrent pain" lasting >= 6 months ‘not fleeting or minor’ 30.7 34.3 26.7 30.15-31.25
32 Jonsdottir et al51, 2013 1548 875 673 20-70 General NRQ Nonspecific chronic pain Iceland N Pain lasting >= 3 months 47.5 50.5 46.2 44.94-50
33 Silva et al52, 2020 1300 736 564 >= 18 General 2016I South America R/L Pain in the cervical, thoracic or lumbar regions lasting >= 3months 20.7 26 13.7 18.52-23
34

Bergman et al53, 2001

2425 NR NR 20-74 General 1995 Q CWP Sweden N Persistent or regularly recurrent pain for more than 3 months during the last 12 months (and in accordance with ACR criteria 1990) 11.4 NR NR 10.15-12.72
35 Meucci et al54, 2013 1732 1581 1151 >= 20 General 2010 I CLBP South America R/L Pain lasting >= months in the lumbar region 9.6 11.7 6.6 8.07-10.91
36

Nakamura et al55, 2011

11507 6365 5142 >= 18 General 2010Q Chronic Musculo-skeletal Japan N Pain associated with bone, muscle, joints or nerve; lasting >= 6 months; present within the past month; >= 5 on 10-points VAS scale 15.4 16.8 13.6 14.68-1601
37

Jhun et al56, 2009

2929 1713 1216 >= 20 General 2007Q CBP Korea N Back pain lasting >= 3months in the past year 15.4 18.4 12.2 14.11-16.76
38 Ablin et al57, 2012 1019 519 500 >= 18 General NRQ FM Israel N Persistent pain for more than 3 months (and in accordance with ACR criteria 1990) 2.6 7.1 3.0 3.86-6.67
39

Lourenco et al58, 2015

1719 883 836 >= 21 General 2011-2013Q FM Portugal N Widespread pain index (WPI) and symptom severity scale (SSS) score were both above the cut off points and symptoms present at a similar level for >= 3months 1 1.4 0.6 0.58-1.58
40

Mundal et al59, 2014

3770 2540 1230 >= 20 General 2006-2008Q CWP Norwegian N Pain at three or more predefined sites (Involving the trunk and upper and lower limb) for at least 3 months in the last year 52.9 56.9 42.27 51.28-54.50
41

Aggarwal et al60, 2006

2299 NR NR 18-75 General 2003-2004Q CWP North-WestEngland R/L Defined according to the American College of Rheumatology (ACR) criteria for classificationof widespread pain for fibromyalgia; Briefly, the criteria require the presence of pain in the left and right side of the body, pain above and below the waist, and pain in the axial skeleton (Cervical spine anterior chest, thoracic spine or low back) 15 NR NR 13.57-16.53
42

Jackson et al61, 2014

1003 401 602 >= 18 General NRI Nonspecific chronic pain Asia(ChongquingChina) R/L Pain lasting >= 3 months 25.8 NR NR 23.16-28.67
43

Landmark et al62, 2019

3105 1728 1377 > 20 General 2008-2012Q CWP Scandinavia (Sweden) R/L Scandinavia (Sweden) 6.9 9.6 3.6 6.03-7.85
44

Harifi et al63, 2013

5116 3638 1488 >= 18 General 2009I Nonspecific chronic pain Moroccan N Daily pain for at least 3 months 21 12.5 5.8 19.87-22.12
45

Duenas et al64, 2015

1957 986 971 >= 18 General 2011I Nonspecific chronic pain Spain N Pain (at least 4 days a week) during the last 3 months 16.6 24.8 8.2 14.99-18.34
46

Gerdle et al65, 2004

7637 4014 3623 18-74 General 1999Q Nonspecific chronic pain Sweden R/L Pain lasting for > 3 months 53.7 58.7 48.2 52.57-54.82
47

Bilbeny et al66, 2018

865 NR NR >= 18 General 2013I Nonspecific chronic pain Santiago (South America) R/L Pain lasting >= 3 months, not related with previously diagnosed cancer 32.1 32.9 30 29.05-35.38
48

Elzahaf et al67, 2016

1212 662 550 >= 18 General 2010I Nonspecific chronicpai Libya R/L Pain lasting >= 3 months 19.6 24 14 17.43-21.98
49 Sa et al68, 2009 2297 1272 1025 >= 20 General 1999-2000 Q Nonspecific chronic pain Salvador (Northeast Brazil) R/L Pain lasting for more than 6 months (IASP criteria) 41.4 48.4 32.8 39.37-43.45
50

Ferriera et al69, 2016

2446 1514 932 >= 18 General NRI Nonspecific chronic pain Saopaulo (Brazil) R/L Persistent pain at least for 3 months 28.1 34.7 20.6 26.32-29.92
51 Leyva et al70, 2022 502 253 249 18-70 General 2017Q Non pecific chronic pain Lima Peru R/L Persistent pain in last 3months 38.5 48.9 51.1 34.20-42.87
52 Rikard et al71, 2023 29482 NR NR >= 18 General

2021

Q

Nonspecific chronic pain US N Pain lasting >= 3 months 20.9 22 19.7 20.43-21.36

T, total; M, male; F, female; General, general population; R/L, regional/local; N, national; NR, not reported; CLBP, chronic lower back pain; CBP, chronic back pain; CWP, chronic widespread pain; FM, fibromyalgia; I, interview; Q, questionnaire

Characteristics of the included studies

A total of 52 included studies were published between 2004 and 2024. Number of participants across the studies ranged from 145 to 33,028, including a total of 2,89,490 participants. The studies, based on the types of chronic pain as were categorised as follows: non-specific chronic pain, fibromyalgia, chronic lower back pain, chronic back pain, chronic widespread pain, and chronic musculoskeletal pain. Geographical regions were categorised according to: Asia (17 studies), Europe (19 studies), South America (8 studies), North America (5 studies), and Africa (3 studies).

Quality assessment

Twelve studies from 52 were ‘low-risk’, 19 were ‘moderate-risk’, and 21 were “high risk”. The sample size calculation was found adequate in 50% of the studies. The participant rate was a major bias criterion in this study; less than 25% of studies stated a more than 85% participation rate. The two-rater interaction agreement was assessed (between NS and GTC) by Kappa with and a value of 0.915 [95% CI 0.82 to 1.00] was obtained. The value being greater than 0.9 shows excellent agreement. There were four discrepancies between the two independent raters which was sorted out by consultation with the third author (GTC). Figure 2 depicts the summary and individual risk of bias.

Depicting summary plot for risk of bias.
Fig. 2.
Depicting summary plot for risk of bias.

Pooled prevalence of chronic pain

The estimated prevalence percentage varied widely, and heterogeneity among the studies was 99.8%. The random-effects meta-analysis pooled estimate of the prevalence percentage of all the studies was 26.99% (95% CI: 22.32 to 31.93). The prevalence percentage among the studies ranged from1% to 77.0% and I2 on calculation was 99.8%, Q (51) is 28823.29, P<0.001. By removing the single data point at one time in the sensitivity analysis, the pooled prevalence percentage ranged from 27.70% (95% CI: 23.58 to 31.82) to 29.04% (95% CI: 24.64 to 33.32) (Table II).

Table II. Pooled and stratified prevalence of chronic pain
No. of studies (k) Prevalence % (95% CI) I2, % Q-tests
Overall pooled prevalence 52 26.99 (22.32 to 31.93) 99.8

Q(51)=28823.29

P<0.001

Chronic pain type Stratified prevalence
Nonspecific 34 34.08 (29.18 to 39.16) 99.8

Q(5)=104.92

P<0.001

Chronic lower back pain 5 15.41 (7.63 to 25.28) 99.6
Chronic back pain 3 24.22 (12.36 to 38.55) 99.8
Chronic widespread pain 4 19.36 (4.55 to 41.11) 99.9
Fibromyalgia 3 2.57 (0.78 to 5.332) 99.3
Chronic musculoskeletal pain 3 18.51 (4.13 to 40.01) 99.9

Meta-analysis stratified by the various pain conditions

Stratified prevalence of chronic pain according to the type of pain: According to the pain condition, the prevalence rates varied significantly (Table II). The heterogeneity index and I2 statistics showed a higher heterogeneity among the prevalence rates within each subtype (Supplementary Figure).

Supplementary Figure

Prevalence of chronic pain according to geographic region

The prevalence rates according to the geographic region, were almost similar (QB(4)= 1.19, P=0.879). The highest prevalence percentage was observed in South America; 29.48% (95% CI: 21.55 to 38.0), followed by Europe; 27.72% (95%CI: 18.08 to 38.52), Asia; 26.46% (95% CI:18.45 to 35.33) and the lowest prevalence rate was in North America as 23.52% (95% CI: 16.28 to 31.64).

Subgroup analysis according to the method of data collection

The data on chronic pain were collected through either interviews or questionnaires. In the interview-based method, the pooled prevalence percentage was 27.60% (95% CI: 19.80 to 34.01) and in the questionnaire-based method, it was 21.55% (21.54 to 33.57) which was not significantly different.

Pooled prevalence according to sampling area

We categorised the sampling area into two categories, national and regional or local, where 59.25% of studies belonged to the former and 40.75% to the latter. In the national sampling area, the prevalence percentage was 25.69% (95% CI: 19.26 to 32.69) while it was 29.96% (95% CI: 23.63 to 35.74), in the regional sampling areas, indicating, no statistically significant regional difference.

Pooled prevalence according to risk of bias

The overall combined chronic pain prevalence was compared according to the quality of categories, ‘low-risk’, ‘moderate-risk’, and ‘high-risk’ which did not vary significantly (QB(2)=1.32, P=0.5168).

Prevalence of chronic pain according to gender

The pooled prevalence percentage of various types of chronic pain was 21.63% (95% CI:16.68 to 27.02) among males and 31.42% (95% CI:25.48 to 37.69) in females (P=0.017) (Supplementary Table II).

Supplementary Table II

Sensitivity analysis

It was done to test different assumptions pertaining to missing data to see if the results hold, thereby strengthening evidence quality. Additionally, to obtain robust estimates of the pooled effect size, especially as heterogeneity of the meta-analysis was high. The range of chronic pain varied from 26.11% (95% CI:21.72 to 30.75%) to 27.70% (95% CI:23.02 to 32.58%).

Age variation

In the present study, Age-specific meta-analysis was not possible as most of the included studies had used different age cut-off points. A total of 45 studies covered the ≥18 yr age group, and in 7 studies, patients were ≥45 years of age. The chronic pain prevalence percentage was statistically significant (Q(B)=6.67; P<0.001), in the ≥18 years age group it was 24.23% with I2=99.8% and in the ≥ 45 years the chronic prevalence percentage of all types of pain was 46.68% with I2=99.9%.

Publication bias

Visual assessment of funnel plot symmetry for the overall analysis did not indicate evidence of publication bias. This finding was supported by the Egger regression test, which was not statistically significant (intercept=3.947; 95% CI: −16.17 to 8.28; P=0.29), as well as by the Begg and Mazumdar rank correlation test (P=0.670). Inspection of the funnel plot for the non-specific chronic pain meta-analysis also suggested no apparent publication bias. The Egger regression test for this analysis was also non-significant (intercept=6.43; 95% CI: 5.42 to 19.29; P=0.273), and the Begg and Mazumdar test did not demonstrate statistical significance (P=0.172).

Discussion

Our analysis demonstrated an overall pooled prevalence of chronic pain of 26.99% using a random-effects model. A greater pooled prevalence of chronic pain across all categories was noted among females compared with males (31.42% vs. 21.63%). This is in contrast to the recent systematic review by Murray et al14 who noticed that chronic pain did not vary according to gender.14 Our findings align with those reported by Mansfield et al72, who also demonstrated a significantly higher prevalence of chronic pain among females.

Women have also been found to be suffering from under-treatment of chronic pain pertaining to gynaecological malignancies, highlighting the need for a targeted approach for all phases of palliative care.73

Like the present study, two meta-analysis, estimating the prevalence of all types of chronic pain, were conducted; one in young adults by Murray et al14 and the other by Jackson et al3 in the adult general population with an overall pooled random-effect prevalence of 11.6% in the former and a range of 6% to 48% in the latter. A recent analysis found chronic multi-site pain to be common in adolescents, particularly those with attention-deficient hyperactivity disorder, with a higher prevalence in the general population and greater rates in females than males. This highlights the association of chronic pain with co-morbid conditions and strengthens the gender-based differences, like the present meta-analysis.74

In contrast, only a limited number of studies have examined the prevalence of specific chronic pain conditions, such as chronic low back pain. One such study from Benin, West Africa, reported a high prevalence of chronic lower back pain in both urban (30.68%) and rural (40.2%) populations, with significant associations observed with age, marital status, and employment status.23 Another meta-analysis75 conducted among African school teachers found a pooled prevalence of chronic low back pain 59%. This highlights the need to endorse therapeutic modalities for pain management in developing nations.

A similar prevalence of chronic widespread pain was observed by Andrews et al13 on combining the data from Europe and America, which revealed it to be 8.9% and 10.9%, respectively. These findings are in concordance with the current study, where the prevalence rates were similar across geographic regions in the age group 18-95 years. In contrast, Murray et al14 reported considerable geographic variation in chronic pain prevalence, with the highest rates observed among young adults in Australia and South America (13.6%) and the lowest rates reported in Central and Western Europe (7.8%).14 The difference could be because the current meta-analysis included the general population and not a specific subset of individuals. Also, the prevalence of chronic widespread pain has been estimated more in women as compared to men in previous studies, a finding like ours.13,14,73,74

The present study dealt with a few limitations. Given the considerable heterogeneity identified in this systematic review and meta-analysis, likely stemming from differences in patient characteristics, the results should be interpreted cautiously. Future studies on the prevalence of chronic pain should emphasise stratified reporting by age, sex and provide detailed methodological and statistical measures to facilitate robust data pooling. Systematic reviews and meta-analysis evaluating chronic prevalence in different chronic pain conditions, non-specific chronic pain, migraine, postherpetic neuralgia, type-2 diabetes mellitus, and cancer pain are warranted. Also, standardised definitions of chronic pain while reporting would help to reduce heterogenicity in data.

To conclude, this systematic review and meta-analysis estimated the global pooled prevalence of chronic pain among adults aged 18–95 years to be 26.99%, with a higher prevalence observed in females and no notable differences across geographical regions.

Author contributions

AS: Concept, design, definition of intellectual content, literature search, clinical studies, experimental studies, data acquisition, data analysis, statistical analysis, manuscript writing; NS: Literature search, clinical studies, experimental studies, and data acquisition; GC: Definition of intellectual content, literature search, clinical studies, experimental studies, data acquisition, manuscript writing; MG: Manuscript writing; RM: Data analysis and statistical analysis. All authors have read and approve the final printed version of the manuscript.

Financial support and sponsorship

None.

Conflicts of Interest

None.

Use of Artificial Intelligence (AI)-Assisted Technology for manuscript preparation

The authors confirm that there was no use of AI-assisted technology for assisting in the writing of the manuscript and no images were manipulated using AI.

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