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Prevalence of chronic pain in the general population: A systematic review and meta-analysis
For correspondence: Prof Geetanjali T Chilkoti, Department of Anaesthesia, University College of Medical Sciences, New Delhi 110 062, India e-mail: geetanjalidr@yahoo.co.in
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Received: ,
Accepted: ,
How to cite this article: Saxena AK, Singh N, Chilkoti GT, Gulabani M, Malhotra RK. Prevalence of chronic pain in the general population: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Indian J Med Res. 2026;163:355-70. doi: 10.25259/IJMR_1935_2025.
Abstract
Background and objectives
Chronic pain represents a significant health concern affecting a large segment of society. To date, no systematic review and meta-analysis has evaluated the prevalence of chronic pain in the general population aged 18 to 95 years. The present study aimed to assess prevalence of chronic pain in this age group and examine its variation across age, sex, geographical regions, and psychosocial factors.
Methods
Cochrane Library, PubMed, and MEDLINE, were searched by combining combination of two categories of keywords (prevalence, chronic pain, epidemiology, population-based study, meta-analysis) in the general population till May 2024.
Results
A total of 52 studies with 2,89,490 participants were included to ascertain the global prevalence of six types of chronic pain: non-specific chronic pain, fibromyalgia, chronic lower back pain, chronic back pain, chronic widespread pain, and chronic musculoskeletal pain. The overall pooled random-effect prevalence percentage of chronic pain was 26.99%. The chronic pain prevalence percentage was significantly higher in those above 45 yr of age (46.7%), compared to 24.2% in those between 18-45 yr (P<0.001). The prevalence of chronic pain was higher in women as compared to men (31.42% vs. 21.63%) (P=0.07).
Interpretation and conclusions
The present global meta-analysis of chronic pain across the age group of 18–95 yr, observed a higher prevalence in women and in those alone 45 years of age. There was no geographical difference.
Keywords
Chronic pain
Fibromyalgia
Meta-analysis
Migraine
Prevalence
Systematic review
Chronic pain is a significant healthcare problem with ramifications impacting the social, economic, and health ecosystem worldwide. The International Association for the Study of Pain (IASP) defines chronic pain as pain that lacks an apparent biological purpose and persists beyond the normal period of tissue healing, typically exceeding three months.1 It may be considered a disease as described by the European Federation of IASP chapter on declaration of pain.2 The reported prevalence of chronic pain worldwide ranges from 30% to 40% as cited in various studies.3,4 Chronic pain can be of different types e.g., lower back pain, cervical spine pain, anterior chest pain, chronic widespread pain, fibromyalgia syndrome, migraine, neck pain, and neuropathic pain.5-7
The literature is replete with studies reporting the incidence of chronic pain in Western countries. The chronic pain prevalence was 26.8% in a study on the German population8 and 3.6% in the United States of America.9 Bannwarth et al10 and Branco et al11 conducted studies in the European population and reported a prevalence of 10%, 10%, 11%, 13%, and 23% in France, Italy, Germany, Portugal, and Spain, respectively.
In the Indian subcontinent, Dureja et al12 described the overall chronic pain prevalence as 13%. Various meta-analysis available in the literature, among different age groups across the globe, highlight chronic pain as a significant health concern.13-15 Chronic pain is especially prevalent (upto 66%) in populations, on palliative care treatment.16
Efficacious pain relief is therefore a cornerstone of palliative care, aiming to alleviate agony and enhance the quality of life for patients with life-limiting illnesses. Chronic pain not only physically and mentally drains affected persons, but also negatively impacts the economy and productivity of the nation at large. In a recent Norwegian study, it was found that chronic pain imposes a significant financial burden, to the extent of 4% of gross domestic product, emphasising the importance of patient education and improved rehabilitation of those suffering.17
Accordingly, the present study aimed to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of the available literature to estimate the prevalence of chronic pain and to examine its variation across age, gender, geographical regions, and psychosocial factors among different age groups, with the ultimate goal of informing health policy planning and implementation.
Methods
The study was carried out in compliance with the PRISMA 2020 (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines.18 Subsequently, it was registered in the PROSPERO registry with no. CRD 42023439427.
Search strategy
The literature search was conducted till May 2024 which included searches on online databases such as PubMed, MEDLINE, Cochrane Library, Google Scholar, Science Direct, Embase, ProQuest, Scopus, CINAHL, and AMED. The details of search strategy are presented in Supplementary Table I.
Inclusion and exclusion criteria
All population-based studies involving adults (cross-sectional studies, cohort studies, and national reports) published up to May 2024 and reporting on the prevalence of chronic pain in the general population aged 18–95 years were included. All eligible criteria were selected for further review and synthesis. Studies published in only English language were included. Narrative and systematic reviews, case reports, qualitative studies, editorials, conference proceedings, opinion papers, and letters) were excluded.
Screening and Selection of relevant studies
Screening was performed in two stages: an initial review of titles and abstracts, followed by full-text retrieval and assessment based on predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria. Two pairs of reviewers (NS, GTC) separately screened each record’s titles and abstracts. The studies that were unclear or controversial were advanced to full-text screening. Any disagreements arising during full-text screening were resolved through consensus in consultation with the lead researcher (AKS).
Data extraction and management
The extracted data included final full-text manuscripts, which were collected in a format containing research information, characteristics of the participants included in the study, and outcome measures.
Outcome measures
The primary outcome was to estimate the prevalence of chronic pain in the general population based on the pooled findings of the included studies. The secondary outcomes were to find the differences in the prevalence of chronic pain based on age, sex, race/ethnicity, geographic location, socioeconomic status, and other demographic or clinical factors.
Quality assessment
To assess the potential risk of bias, we applied the risk of bias tool developed by Hoy et al.19 To evaluate the risk of bias, two reviewers assessed and rated each of the 10 items mentioned into two dichotomous ratings: low or high risk. ‘Low risk’ indicated that further research was very unlikely to change the confidence of the estimates, whereas ‘high risk’ indicated that further research was very likely to change the estimate. Cohen Kappa was used to assess the strength of agreement between the two independent assessors.
Qualitative assessment
The reporting quality of the included articles was evaluated in accordance with the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) statement.20 The methodological quality related to chronic pain assessment was evaluated across five domains: characteristics of the study population, adequacy of sample size, participation rate, outcome measurement, and analytical approach. Each domain was scored from 0 to 2, and the sum of these scores reflected the overall study quality. The modules having ‘low risk’ assigned were 2, ‘moderate risk’ 1, and ‘high risk’ 0. The maximum score of the assessment was 10. The study was considered ‘low risk’ when the total score was greater than 8, moderate if it was 7 or 8, and high-risk when it was less than or equal to 6.
Statistical analysis
A meta-analysis of proportions was performed using R software (version 4.1.0; R Foundation for Statistical Computing). Statistical significance was set at an α level of 0.05. Given the expected substantial heterogeneity, pooled prevalence estimates were calculated using the meta::metaprop function, applying a random-effects model with restricted maximum-likelihood estimation. Proportions were defined as the number of individuals with chronic pain relative to the total sample size. To stabilise variance, individual study proportions were transformed using the Freeman–Tukey double arcsine method. Clopper–Pearson 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were derived for individual studies, while Wald 95% CIs were used for the pooled estimates. Forest plots corresponding to each primary outcome were generated using the meta::forest function.
Between-study heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistic. Threshold values of 30%, 50%, and 75% were used to indicate moderate, substantial, and considerable heterogeneity, respectively, in line with recommendations from the GRADE framework (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations) and guidance provided in the Cochrane Handbook for the interpretation of heterogeneity.21,22
The tests of heterogeneity was performed to determine the extent of variation between the selected studies. The Q-statistic was employed to test the null hypothesis that all studies share a common effect size. The Egger regression intercept test and the Begg and Mazumdar rank correlation test, as well as visual inspection of funnel plots for asymmetry, were used to assess bias in publication via the meta::metabias and meta::funnel functions, respectively.
Results
Literature search
This PRISMA flow diagram is shown in Figure 1. The summary of the studies included is shown in Table I.1,6,12,23-71

- PRISMA flow diagram. PRISMA, preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analysis.
| S. No. | Study | Sample size (N) | Age group | Population type | Sampling year and survey method |
Pain type |
Geographical region |
Sampling area | Definition of chronic pain | Prevalence (%) | 95% CI (%) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T | F | M | T | F | M | ||||||||||
| 1 | Saxena et al1, 2018 |
4326 | 2345 | 1981 | 18-80 | General | 2006Q | Nonspecific chronic pain | India | N | IASP definition of CP (pain lasting >=3 months) | 19.3 | 25.2 | 12.3 | 18.13-20.50 |
|
2 |
Bouhassira et al6, 2008 |
23712 | 12330 | 11382 | >=18 | General | 2004Q |
Nonspecific chronic pain |
France | N | Daily pain lasting >=3 months; score of >=3 on DN4 interview questionnaire to identify neuropathic pain characteristics | 31.7 | 35 | 28.2 | 31.11-32.30 |
|
3 |
Dureja et al12, 2013 | 5004 | 48% | 52% | >=30 | General | 2001AND2011I | Nonspecific chronic pain | India | N | Persistent continuously or intermittently pain for 3months or more in past 6months | 13 | NR | NR | 12.10-13.98 |
|
4 |
Kossi et al23, 2022 | 4320 | 1756 | 2563 | >= 18 | General | 2021I | CLBP | Benin (Western Africa) | R/L | Pain between the 12th riband the gluteal cleft, with or without radiation to the legs, lasting at least 12weeks without a specific underlying pathology or occurring episodically within 6 months | 35.5 | 34.7 | 36 | 34.08-36.96 |
5 |
Ai et al24, 2023 | 15423 | 7917 | 7506 | >=45 | General | 2018I | Nonspecific chronic pain | China | N | Pain lasting for more than 3 months | 60.02 | 58.3 | 41.7 | 59.24-60.80 |
| 6 | Li et al25, 2021 | 1381 | 764 | 617 | >=60 | General | 2018-2019 I | Nonspecific chronic pain | China | N | Pain lasting >=3 months was defined as a chronic pain following the IASP classification | 57.3 | 57.1 | 42.9 | 54.62-59.91 |
| 7 | Gaya et al26, 2020 | 4916 | NR | NR | >=20 | General | 2016I | FM | Spain | N | Diffuse chronic pain more than 3months (ACR criteria for the classification of FM was published in 2010) | 2.45 | 4.49 | 0.29 | 2.04-2.92 |
| 8 | Wong et al27, 2011 | 5001 | NR | NR | >=18 | General | 2007I | Nonspecific chronic pain | Hong King | N | Pain persisting for at least 3 months | 34.9 | 40 | 29 | 33.57-36.23 |
| 9 | Liberman et al28, 2018 |
419 | NR | NR | >=65 | General | NRI | Nonspecific chronic pain | Israel | R/L | Pain persisting for at least 3 months | 55.2 | NR | NR | 50.23-59.94 |
| 10 | Sharon et al29, 2022 | 1647 | 914 | 733 | >=18 | General | 2017Q | Nonspecific chronic pain | Israel | N | Any kind of chronic pain that is constant or recurrent, for 3 months or longer | 31.3 | 33.6 | 28.2 | 29.10-33.64 |
| 11 | Torrence et al30, 2006 |
3002 | 1669 | 1333 | >=18 | General | NRQ | Nonspecific chronic pain | UK | N |
Pain lasting for more than 3 months |
48 | NR | NR | 46.20-49.81 |
| 12 | Dablhamer et al31, 2018 | 33028 | NR | NR | >=18 | General | 2016Q | Nonspecific chronic pain | US | N | Pain on most of days or every day in the past 6months | 20.4 | 22.1 | 18.6 | 19.94-20.82 |
| 13 | Giorno et al32, 2017 |
1293 | 739 | 544 | >=18 | General | 2014Q | Nonspecific chronic pain | Narni, Umbria (Italy) | R/L | Pain lasting for at least 3 months | 28.4 | 34.1 | 21 | 25.93-30.92 |
| 14 | Stompore et al33, 2019 |
145 | 110 | 35 | >=60 | General | NRQ | Nonspecific chronic pain | Poland | N | Presence and location of chronic pain (lasting longer than 3 months) | 78 | NR | NR | 70.14-84.20 |
| 15 | Iizuka et al34, 2017 | 213 | 138 | 75 | >=50 | General | 2013Q | CLBP | Japan | N | Pain continuing for >=3 months | 15.4 | 16.6 | 13.3 | 11.09-21.20 |
| 16 | Ge et al35, 2022 | 1941 | 1082 | 859 | 21-97 | General | 2015-2017I | CLBP | Singapore | N | Pain lasting for more than 3 months | 8.1 | 10.25 | 8 | 6.89-9.37 |
| 17 | Antunes et al362021 |
8445 | NR | NR | >=18 | General | 2017-2018I | Nonspecific chronic pain | Portugal | N | Individuals who (1) had pain for more than 3 months, (2) had pain for less than 3 months, but the pain persisted after the cause was healed, or (3) had a previous diagnosis of CP but were asymptomatic due to suitable treatment | 33.6 | NR | NR | 32.59-34.62 |
| 18 | Neville et al37, 2008 |
3738 | 1995 | 1743 | >=25 | General | NRQ | Nonspecific chronic pain | Israel | R/L | Any pain or discomfort that persists continuously or intermittently for longer than 3 months, in the last 6 months | 46 | 52.2 | 38.9 | 44.41-47.63 |
| 19 | Duenas et al38, 2025 | 4690 | 2138 | 2552 | 18-85 | General | 2022I | Nonspecific chronic pain | Spain | N | Pain persisting for at least 3 months | 25 | 58.7 | 41.3 | 23.76-26.26 |
| 20 | Inoue et al39, 2016 |
5437 | 2992 | 2445 | >= 20 | General | 2013Q | Nonspecific chronic pain | Japan | N | 1) Pain lasting >= 6 months (excluding toothache, migraine, and menstrual pain); (2) Pain experienced over the past month and at least twice over the past week and (3) pain intensity >= 5 on a 10-point NRS during the most recent episode of pain | 16.6 | 17.9 | 15.09 | 15.61-17.61 |
| 21 | Santose et al40, 2015 |
1656 | 1058 | 598 | >= 60 | General | 2009-2010I | Nonspecific chronic pain | Santa catorina(SouthAmerica) | R/L | Pain lasted for 6 months or more as established by IASP | 29.3 | 37 | 17.7 | 27.11-31.55 |
| 22 | Husky et al41, 2018 |
17249 | NR | NR | 18-98 | General | 2005 I | CBP | France | N | Pain persisting for more than 3 months | 38.3 | 41.3 | 34.3 | 37.57-39.02 |
| 23 | Yamada et al42, 2022 |
12883 | 6196 | 6687 | >= 65 | General | 2019Q | ChronicMusculo-skeletal | Japan | N | Pain in designated musculoskeletal sites (neck, shoulder, elbow, wrist, finger, back, hip, knee, ankle and toe)lasting >= 3 months | 39 | 41.8 | 36.3 | 38.15-39.84 |
| 24 | Metwally et al43, 2019 |
1031 | 644 | 387 | >= 18 | General | 2016Q | Nonspecific chronic pain | Arabia | R/L | Any self-reported pain lasting for 3 months or more | 19 | 18.3 | 20.6 | 16.67-21.55 |
| 25 | Toth et al44, 2009 | 1207 | NR | NR | >= 18 | General | NRI | Nonspecific chronic pain | Alberta (Canada) | R/L | Pain duration >= 3 months | 35 | NR | NR | 32.24-37.71 |
| 26 | Aili et al45, 2021 |
1858 | 1027 | 831 | 20-74 | General | 1995-2016Q | Chronic musculoskeletal pain | Scandinavia(Sweden) | R/L | Persistent or recurrent pain lasting > 3 months present on both sides of the body, below and above the waist, and in the axial skeleton using pain mannequin | 6.4 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 5.33-7.61 |
| 27 | Azevedo et al46, 2012 | 5094 | 3304 | 1790 | >= 18 | General | 2007-2008 I | Non-specific chronic pain | Portugal | R/L | Pain lasting >= 3 months | 36.7 | 45.7 | 27 | 35.36-38.03 |
| 28 | Jakobsson et al47, 2010 |
826 | 485 | 341 | 18-102 | General | 2005Q | Nonspecific chronic pain | Scandinavia(Sweden) | R/L | Pain of at least 3 months duration | 46 | NR | NR | 42.57-49.47 |
| 29 | Vieira et al48, 2012 |
1597 | 1060 | 537 | >= 18 | General | 2009-2010I | Nonspecific chronic pain | South America | R/L | Persistent pain for more than 6 months | 42 | 49.4 | 28.4 | 39.59-44.48 |
| 30 | Shmegal et al49, 2016 |
5103 | 2592 | 2511 | 22-69 | General | 2009-2010I | CLBP | USA | N | Lower back pain almost every day lasting >= 3months | 13.1 | 55.8 | NR | 12.15-14.02 |
| 31 | Johannes et al50, 2010 |
27035 | 16678 | 10357 | >= 18 | General | 2008-2009Q | Nonspecific chronic pain | USA | N | "Chronic and long-lasting recurrent pain" lasting >= 6 months ‘not fleeting or minor’ | 30.7 | 34.3 | 26.7 | 30.15-31.25 |
| 32 | Jonsdottir et al51, 2013 | 1548 | 875 | 673 | 20-70 | General | NRQ | Nonspecific chronic pain | Iceland | N | Pain lasting >= 3 months | 47.5 | 50.5 | 46.2 | 44.94-50 |
| 33 | Silva et al52, 2020 | 1300 | 736 | 564 | >= 18 | General | 2016I | South America | R/L | Pain in the cervical, thoracic or lumbar regions lasting >= 3months | 20.7 | 26 | 13.7 | 18.52-23 | |
| 34 | Bergman et al53, 2001 |
2425 | NR | NR | 20-74 | General | 1995 Q | CWP | Sweden | N | Persistent or regularly recurrent pain for more than 3 months during the last 12 months (and in accordance with ACR criteria 1990) | 11.4 | NR | NR | 10.15-12.72 |
| 35 | Meucci et al54, 2013 | 1732 | 1581 | 1151 | >= 20 | General | 2010 I | CLBP | South America | R/L | Pain lasting >= months in the lumbar region | 9.6 | 11.7 | 6.6 | 8.07-10.91 |
| 36 | Nakamura et al55, 2011 |
11507 | 6365 | 5142 | >= 18 | General | 2010Q | Chronic Musculo-skeletal | Japan | N | Pain associated with bone, muscle, joints or nerve; lasting >= 6 months; present within the past month; >= 5 on 10-points VAS scale | 15.4 | 16.8 | 13.6 | 14.68-1601 |
| 37 | Jhun et al56, 2009 |
2929 | 1713 | 1216 | >= 20 | General | 2007Q | CBP | Korea | N | Back pain lasting >= 3months in the past year | 15.4 | 18.4 | 12.2 | 14.11-16.76 |
| 38 | Ablin et al57, 2012 | 1019 | 519 | 500 | >= 18 | General | NRQ | FM | Israel | N | Persistent pain for more than 3 months (and in accordance with ACR criteria 1990) | 2.6 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 3.86-6.67 |
| 39 | Lourenco et al58, 2015 |
1719 | 883 | 836 | >= 21 | General | 2011-2013Q | FM | Portugal | N | Widespread pain index (WPI) and symptom severity scale (SSS) score were both above the cut off points and symptoms present at a similar level for >= 3months | 1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.58-1.58 |
| 40 | Mundal et al59, 2014 |
3770 | 2540 | 1230 | >= 20 | General | 2006-2008Q | CWP | Norwegian | N | Pain at three or more predefined sites (Involving the trunk and upper and lower limb) for at least 3 months in the last year | 52.9 | 56.9 | 42.27 | 51.28-54.50 |
| 41 | Aggarwal et al60, 2006 |
2299 | NR | NR | 18-75 | General | 2003-2004Q | CWP | North-WestEngland | R/L | Defined according to the American College of Rheumatology (ACR) criteria for classificationof widespread pain for fibromyalgia; Briefly, the criteria require the presence of pain in the left and right side of the body, pain above and below the waist, and pain in the axial skeleton (Cervical spine anterior chest, thoracic spine or low back) | 15 | NR | NR | 13.57-16.53 |
| 42 | Jackson et al61, 2014 |
1003 | 401 | 602 | >= 18 | General | NRI | Nonspecific chronic pain | Asia(ChongquingChina) | R/L | Pain lasting >= 3 months | 25.8 | NR | NR | 23.16-28.67 |
| 43 | Landmark et al62, 2019 |
3105 | 1728 | 1377 | > 20 | General | 2008-2012Q | CWP | Scandinavia (Sweden) | R/L | Scandinavia (Sweden) | 6.9 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 6.03-7.85 |
| 44 | Harifi et al63, 2013 |
5116 | 3638 | 1488 | >= 18 | General | 2009I | Nonspecific chronic pain | Moroccan | N | Daily pain for at least 3 months | 21 | 12.5 | 5.8 | 19.87-22.12 |
| 45 | Duenas et al64, 2015 |
1957 | 986 | 971 | >= 18 | General | 2011I | Nonspecific chronic pain | Spain | N | Pain (at least 4 days a week) during the last 3 months | 16.6 | 24.8 | 8.2 | 14.99-18.34 |
| 46 | Gerdle et al65, 2004 |
7637 | 4014 | 3623 | 18-74 | General | 1999Q | Nonspecific chronic pain | Sweden | R/L | Pain lasting for > 3 months | 53.7 | 58.7 | 48.2 | 52.57-54.82 |
| 47 | Bilbeny et al66, 2018 |
865 | NR | NR | >= 18 | General | 2013I | Nonspecific chronic pain | Santiago (South America) | R/L | Pain lasting >= 3 months, not related with previously diagnosed cancer | 32.1 | 32.9 | 30 | 29.05-35.38 |
| 48 | Elzahaf et al67, 2016 |
1212 | 662 | 550 | >= 18 | General | 2010I | Nonspecific chronicpai | Libya | R/L | Pain lasting >= 3 months | 19.6 | 24 | 14 | 17.43-21.98 |
| 49 | Sa et al68, 2009 | 2297 | 1272 | 1025 | >= 20 | General | 1999-2000 Q | Nonspecific chronic pain | Salvador (Northeast Brazil) | R/L | Pain lasting for more than 6 months (IASP criteria) | 41.4 | 48.4 | 32.8 | 39.37-43.45 |
| 50 | Ferriera et al69, 2016 |
2446 | 1514 | 932 | >= 18 | General | NRI | Nonspecific chronic pain | Saopaulo (Brazil) | R/L | Persistent pain at least for 3 months | 28.1 | 34.7 | 20.6 | 26.32-29.92 |
| 51 | Leyva et al70, 2022 | 502 | 253 | 249 | 18-70 | General | 2017Q | Non pecific chronic pain | Lima Peru | R/L | Persistent pain in last 3months | 38.5 | 48.9 | 51.1 | 34.20-42.87 |
| 52 | Rikard et al71, 2023 | 29482 | NR | NR | >= 18 | General |
2021 Q |
Nonspecific chronic pain | US | N | Pain lasting >= 3 months | 20.9 | 22 | 19.7 | 20.43-21.36 |
T, total; M, male; F, female; General, general population; R/L, regional/local; N, national; NR, not reported; CLBP, chronic lower back pain; CBP, chronic back pain; CWP, chronic widespread pain; FM, fibromyalgia; I, interview; Q, questionnaire
Characteristics of the included studies
A total of 52 included studies were published between 2004 and 2024. Number of participants across the studies ranged from 145 to 33,028, including a total of 2,89,490 participants. The studies, based on the types of chronic pain as were categorised as follows: non-specific chronic pain, fibromyalgia, chronic lower back pain, chronic back pain, chronic widespread pain, and chronic musculoskeletal pain. Geographical regions were categorised according to: Asia (17 studies), Europe (19 studies), South America (8 studies), North America (5 studies), and Africa (3 studies).
Quality assessment
Twelve studies from 52 were ‘low-risk’, 19 were ‘moderate-risk’, and 21 were “high risk”. The sample size calculation was found adequate in 50% of the studies. The participant rate was a major bias criterion in this study; less than 25% of studies stated a more than 85% participation rate. The two-rater interaction agreement was assessed (between NS and GTC) by Kappa with and a value of 0.915 [95% CI 0.82 to 1.00] was obtained. The value being greater than 0.9 shows excellent agreement. There were four discrepancies between the two independent raters which was sorted out by consultation with the third author (GTC). Figure 2 depicts the summary and individual risk of bias.

- Depicting summary plot for risk of bias.
Pooled prevalence of chronic pain
The estimated prevalence percentage varied widely, and heterogeneity among the studies was 99.8%. The random-effects meta-analysis pooled estimate of the prevalence percentage of all the studies was 26.99% (95% CI: 22.32 to 31.93). The prevalence percentage among the studies ranged from1% to 77.0% and I2 on calculation was 99.8%, Q (51) is 28823.29, P<0.001. By removing the single data point at one time in the sensitivity analysis, the pooled prevalence percentage ranged from 27.70% (95% CI: 23.58 to 31.82) to 29.04% (95% CI: 24.64 to 33.32) (Table II).
| No. of studies (k) | Prevalence % (95% CI) | I2, % | Q-tests | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall pooled prevalence | 52 | 26.99 (22.32 to 31.93) | 99.8 |
Q(51)=28823.29 P<0.001 |
| Chronic pain type | Stratified prevalence | |||
| Nonspecific | 34 | 34.08 (29.18 to 39.16) | 99.8 |
Q(5)=104.92 P<0.001 |
| Chronic lower back pain | 5 | 15.41 (7.63 to 25.28) | 99.6 | |
| Chronic back pain | 3 | 24.22 (12.36 to 38.55) | 99.8 | |
| Chronic widespread pain | 4 | 19.36 (4.55 to 41.11) | 99.9 | |
| Fibromyalgia | 3 | 2.57 (0.78 to 5.332) | 99.3 | |
| Chronic musculoskeletal pain | 3 | 18.51 (4.13 to 40.01) | 99.9 | |
Meta-analysis stratified by the various pain conditions
Stratified prevalence of chronic pain according to the type of pain: According to the pain condition, the prevalence rates varied significantly (Table II). The heterogeneity index and I2 statistics showed a higher heterogeneity among the prevalence rates within each subtype (Supplementary Figure).
Prevalence of chronic pain according to geographic region
The prevalence rates according to the geographic region, were almost similar (QB(4)= 1.19, P=0.879). The highest prevalence percentage was observed in South America; 29.48% (95% CI: 21.55 to 38.0), followed by Europe; 27.72% (95%CI: 18.08 to 38.52), Asia; 26.46% (95% CI:18.45 to 35.33) and the lowest prevalence rate was in North America as 23.52% (95% CI: 16.28 to 31.64).
Subgroup analysis according to the method of data collection
The data on chronic pain were collected through either interviews or questionnaires. In the interview-based method, the pooled prevalence percentage was 27.60% (95% CI: 19.80 to 34.01) and in the questionnaire-based method, it was 21.55% (21.54 to 33.57) which was not significantly different.
Pooled prevalence according to sampling area
We categorised the sampling area into two categories, national and regional or local, where 59.25% of studies belonged to the former and 40.75% to the latter. In the national sampling area, the prevalence percentage was 25.69% (95% CI: 19.26 to 32.69) while it was 29.96% (95% CI: 23.63 to 35.74), in the regional sampling areas, indicating, no statistically significant regional difference.
Pooled prevalence according to risk of bias
The overall combined chronic pain prevalence was compared according to the quality of categories, ‘low-risk’, ‘moderate-risk’, and ‘high-risk’ which did not vary significantly (QB(2)=1.32, P=0.5168).
Prevalence of chronic pain according to gender
The pooled prevalence percentage of various types of chronic pain was 21.63% (95% CI:16.68 to 27.02) among males and 31.42% (95% CI:25.48 to 37.69) in females (P=0.017) (Supplementary Table II).
Sensitivity analysis
It was done to test different assumptions pertaining to missing data to see if the results hold, thereby strengthening evidence quality. Additionally, to obtain robust estimates of the pooled effect size, especially as heterogeneity of the meta-analysis was high. The range of chronic pain varied from 26.11% (95% CI:21.72 to 30.75%) to 27.70% (95% CI:23.02 to 32.58%).
Age variation
In the present study, Age-specific meta-analysis was not possible as most of the included studies had used different age cut-off points. A total of 45 studies covered the ≥18 yr age group, and in 7 studies, patients were ≥45 years of age. The chronic pain prevalence percentage was statistically significant (Q(B)=6.67; P<0.001), in the ≥18 years age group it was 24.23% with I2=99.8% and in the ≥ 45 years the chronic prevalence percentage of all types of pain was 46.68% with I2=99.9%.
Publication bias
Visual assessment of funnel plot symmetry for the overall analysis did not indicate evidence of publication bias. This finding was supported by the Egger regression test, which was not statistically significant (intercept=3.947; 95% CI: −16.17 to 8.28; P=0.29), as well as by the Begg and Mazumdar rank correlation test (P=0.670). Inspection of the funnel plot for the non-specific chronic pain meta-analysis also suggested no apparent publication bias. The Egger regression test for this analysis was also non-significant (intercept=6.43; 95% CI: 5.42 to 19.29; P=0.273), and the Begg and Mazumdar test did not demonstrate statistical significance (P=0.172).
Discussion
Our analysis demonstrated an overall pooled prevalence of chronic pain of 26.99% using a random-effects model. A greater pooled prevalence of chronic pain across all categories was noted among females compared with males (31.42% vs. 21.63%). This is in contrast to the recent systematic review by Murray et al14 who noticed that chronic pain did not vary according to gender.14 Our findings align with those reported by Mansfield et al72, who also demonstrated a significantly higher prevalence of chronic pain among females.
Women have also been found to be suffering from under-treatment of chronic pain pertaining to gynaecological malignancies, highlighting the need for a targeted approach for all phases of palliative care.73
Like the present study, two meta-analysis, estimating the prevalence of all types of chronic pain, were conducted; one in young adults by Murray et al14 and the other by Jackson et al3 in the adult general population with an overall pooled random-effect prevalence of 11.6% in the former and a range of 6% to 48% in the latter. A recent analysis found chronic multi-site pain to be common in adolescents, particularly those with attention-deficient hyperactivity disorder, with a higher prevalence in the general population and greater rates in females than males. This highlights the association of chronic pain with co-morbid conditions and strengthens the gender-based differences, like the present meta-analysis.74
In contrast, only a limited number of studies have examined the prevalence of specific chronic pain conditions, such as chronic low back pain. One such study from Benin, West Africa, reported a high prevalence of chronic lower back pain in both urban (30.68%) and rural (40.2%) populations, with significant associations observed with age, marital status, and employment status.23 Another meta-analysis75 conducted among African school teachers found a pooled prevalence of chronic low back pain 59%. This highlights the need to endorse therapeutic modalities for pain management in developing nations.
A similar prevalence of chronic widespread pain was observed by Andrews et al13 on combining the data from Europe and America, which revealed it to be 8.9% and 10.9%, respectively. These findings are in concordance with the current study, where the prevalence rates were similar across geographic regions in the age group 18-95 years. In contrast, Murray et al14 reported considerable geographic variation in chronic pain prevalence, with the highest rates observed among young adults in Australia and South America (13.6%) and the lowest rates reported in Central and Western Europe (7.8%).14 The difference could be because the current meta-analysis included the general population and not a specific subset of individuals. Also, the prevalence of chronic widespread pain has been estimated more in women as compared to men in previous studies, a finding like ours.13,14,73,74
The present study dealt with a few limitations. Given the considerable heterogeneity identified in this systematic review and meta-analysis, likely stemming from differences in patient characteristics, the results should be interpreted cautiously. Future studies on the prevalence of chronic pain should emphasise stratified reporting by age, sex and provide detailed methodological and statistical measures to facilitate robust data pooling. Systematic reviews and meta-analysis evaluating chronic prevalence in different chronic pain conditions, non-specific chronic pain, migraine, postherpetic neuralgia, type-2 diabetes mellitus, and cancer pain are warranted. Also, standardised definitions of chronic pain while reporting would help to reduce heterogenicity in data.
To conclude, this systematic review and meta-analysis estimated the global pooled prevalence of chronic pain among adults aged 18–95 years to be 26.99%, with a higher prevalence observed in females and no notable differences across geographical regions.
Author contributions
AS: Concept, design, definition of intellectual content, literature search, clinical studies, experimental studies, data acquisition, data analysis, statistical analysis, manuscript writing; NS: Literature search, clinical studies, experimental studies, and data acquisition; GC: Definition of intellectual content, literature search, clinical studies, experimental studies, data acquisition, manuscript writing; MG: Manuscript writing; RM: Data analysis and statistical analysis. All authors have read and approve the final printed version of the manuscript.
Financial support and sponsorship
None.
Conflicts of Interest
None.
Use of Artificial Intelligence (AI)-Assisted Technology for manuscript preparation
The authors confirm that there was no use of AI-assisted technology for assisting in the writing of the manuscript and no images were manipulated using AI.
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